Thursday, April 24, 2008

Nifty Downward Bias Continues

Today was again a flat day for the Nifty with a slight negative bias. No breakouts out of the range, just stayed within it but closed near the bottom of the range at 5000. As suggested yesterday, a move below 5000 could take the Nifty to a level of 4930-4940. There is another support at 4900 and the next one at 4830. We shall have to see which support the Nifty decides to respect, if at all it were to go below 5000. An upmove shall be productive only if it were to cross 5080.

But what I found interesting in this 30 minutes chart of the Nifty was that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) seems to be finding support at 40. This may be good for the market if it decides not to break down.

Today was also the F&O expiry day. That was expected to bring high volatility and choppiness into the market. But the kind of volatility that was expected did not come about. Maybe it was because of the low volumes and open interest this month which was caused by the nervousness in the markets.

As expected, our recommendations yesterday did not go right today because the broader market remained weak. That was what we had warned yesterday that though some buying signals were there, the reader has to use her own discretion whether to take the trade or not because we were expecting the broader market to come down.

No stocks being discussed today since the Nifty is showing signs of weakness and taking long positions now may hurt our financial health. We shall wait for the Nifty to give us a buy signal before taking any long positions.

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Happy Investing!!!